Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.86%) and 2-0 (5.47%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swindon Town in this match.
Result | ||
Swindon Town | Draw | Notts County |
44.5% ( 0.11) | 22.22% ( -0.03) | 33.28% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 67.37% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.19% ( 0.15) | 32.81% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.49% ( 0.17) | 54.51% ( -0.17) |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.54% ( 0.1) | 15.46% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.68% ( 0.18) | 44.33% ( -0.18) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.69% ( 0.03) | 20.31% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.32% ( 0.05) | 52.68% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Swindon Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 44.5% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.22% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 45 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 95 | 46 | 49 | 92 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 45 | 24 | 13 | 8 | 89 | 46 | 43 | 85 |
P | Wrexham | 45 | 25 | 10 | 10 | 87 | 51 | 36 | 85 |
4 | MK Dons | 45 | 23 | 8 | 14 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 77 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 45 | 21 | 7 | 17 | 71 | 66 | 5 | 70 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 45 | 19 | 13 | 13 | 68 | 64 | 4 | 70 |
7 | BarrowBarrow | 45 | 18 | 14 | 13 | 61 | 55 | 6 | 68 |
8 | Crawley TownCrawley | 45 | 20 | 7 | 18 | 71 | 67 | 4 | 67 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 66 |
10 | Walsall | 45 | 18 | 11 | 16 | 68 | 68 | 0 | 65 |
11 | Gillingham | 45 | 18 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 63 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 45 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 62 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 58 | 67 | -9 | 62 |
14 | Notts County | 45 | 18 | 7 | 20 | 89 | 85 | 4 | 61 |
15 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 45 | 17 | 6 | 22 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 57 |
16 | Morecambe | 45 | 17 | 9 | 19 | 64 | 78 | -14 | 57 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 45 | 16 | 7 | 22 | 61 | 72 | -11 | 55 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 45 | 15 | 9 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 54 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 74 | 80 | -6 | 53 |
20 | Salford City | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 64 | 80 | -16 | 50 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 57 | 72 | -15 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 45 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 58 | 79 | -21 | 44 |
23 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 45 | 9 | 14 | 22 | 55 | 80 | -25 | 41 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 45 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 43 | 78 | -35 | 39 |
> League Two Full Table |