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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Blackburn logo

Southampton
4 - 0
Blackburn

Edozie (44'), Armstrong (64'), Mara (90+7'), Alcaraz (90+9')
Downes (37'), Smallbone (67'), Aribo (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Brittain (26'), Szmodics (67'), Carter (90+10')
Brittain (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Southampton and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 2-1 Bristol City
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 3-1 Blackburn Rovers

Blackburn make the long trip to the South Coast sensing that there is an opportunity to make real headway up the table and into the playoff mix. However, Southampton are due a clinical performance and we feel that may come against opponents who have suffered 10 defeats in 21 league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 45.64%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.99%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawBlackburn Rovers
45.64% (-0.755 -0.76) 22.92% (0.146 0.15) 31.44% (0.609 0.61)
Both teams to score 63.81% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.88% (-0.403 -0.4)37.12% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.68% (-0.438 -0.44)59.32% (0.438 0.44)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (-0.438 -0.44)16.71% (0.439 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.39% (-0.793 -0.79)46.61% (0.793 0.79)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.62% (0.163 0.16)23.38% (-0.161 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.63% (0.234 0.23)57.36% (-0.234 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 45.64%
    Blackburn Rovers 31.44%
    Draw 22.92%
SouthamptonDrawBlackburn Rovers
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.035 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.25% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.42% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.94% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.73% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.085 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.67% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 4.37%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 6.6% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.91% (0.076 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 22.92%
1-2 @ 7.38% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.68% (0.137 0.14)
0-2 @ 4.13% (0.119 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.014 0.01)
0-3 @ 2% (0.067 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.3% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Blackburn

Southampton
68.2%
Draw
18.2%
Blackburn Rovers
13.6%
22
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2005 3pm
Blackburn
3-0
Southampton
Reid (55'), Gamst Pedersen (11'), Jakobsson (48' og.)
Emerton (50'), Reid (74')

Camara (30')
Aug 21, 2004 3pm
Southampton
3-2
Blackburn
Svensson (74'), Phillips (32'), Beattie (90' pen.)
Ferguson (50')
Ferguson (82'), Johansson (90')
Feb 28, 2004 3pm
Oct 25, 2003 3pm
Southampton
2-0
Blackburn
Beattie (59'), Griffit (87')

Todd (60')
Cole (65')
Feb 8, 2003 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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