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Major League Soccer
Sep 14, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Saputo Stadium
Chicago Fire

Montreal
3 - 2
Chicago Fire

Kamara (21', 29'), Brault-Guillard (44')
Waterman (57'), Camacho (61'), Wanyama (69')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Shaqiri (39' pen., 57' pen.)
Reynolds (19'), Sekulic (79'), Teran (85'), Czichos (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Major League Soccer clash between CF Montreal and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 2-2 Columbus Crew
Saturday, September 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: CF Montreal 1-0 Chicago Fire

The Fire have done a great job of shutting down their opponents through large portions of their matches this season, but they have a tendency to hang back and defend more often than not, and an attack as dynamic as Montreal's only need a couple of chances to make them count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 61.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 0-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.

Result
CF MontrealDrawChicago Fire
61.21% (0.273 0.27) 21.07% (-0.118 -0.12) 17.71% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.9% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.21% (0.256 0.26)42.79% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (0.252 0.25)65.19% (-0.25800000000001 -0.26)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.51% (0.16199999999999 0.16)13.49% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.48% (0.328 0.33)40.51% (-0.333 -0.33)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.31% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)37.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)74.46% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    CF Montreal 61.21%
    Chicago Fire 17.71%
    Draw 21.07%
CF MontrealDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.18% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.81% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.24% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.018 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.37% (0.026 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.33% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 61.21%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.07%
0-1 @ 4.96% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.42% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.71%

How you voted: Montreal vs Chicago Fire

CF Montreal
75.0%
Draw
21.4%
Chicago Fire
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1am
Chicago Fire
0-2
Montreal

Teran (22'), Torres (57')
Kone (19'), Quioto (24')
Kone (34'), Wanyama (45+6'), Mihailovic (59'), Breza (62')
Kone (45+3')
Sep 19, 2021 6pm
Montreal
2-0
Chicago Fire
Quioto (60'), Teran Diaz (80' og.)

Stojanovic (39'), Teran Diaz (49')
May 29, 2021 6pm
Oct 4, 2020 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati149321710730
2Inter MiamiInter Miami1585235201529
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532420423
4New York City FCNY City147251715223
5Toronto147161919022
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC146351413121
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United144642023-318
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia133642221115
10Nashville SCNashville133641720-315
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta133461716113
12Orlando City123451420-613
13CF MontrealMontreal133371629-1312
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England12228922-138

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy145722521422
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City133731818016
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010


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