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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Goodison Park
Brentford logo

Everton
1 - 0
Brentford

McNeil (1')
Coleman (61'), Doucoure (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Norgaard (45+1')

The Match

Match Report

Dwight McNeil's winner after just 35 seconds lifts Everton out of the relegation zone as the Toffees end Brentford's unbeaten run with a 1-0 win at Goodison Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-2 Everton
Sunday, March 5 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brentford 3-2 Fulham
Monday, March 6 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.43%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Everton in this match.

Result
EvertonDrawBrentford
43.43% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.39% (0.004999999999999 0) 30.17% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.3% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)53.19% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)74.75% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Everton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)24.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.3% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)58.7% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.78% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)32.21% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.29% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)68.71% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Everton 43.42%
    Brentford 30.17%
    Draw 26.39%
EvertonDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 11.07% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18%
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.37% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 43.42%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.39%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.11% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.17%

How you voted: Everton vs Brentford

Everton
32.9%
Draw
19.4%
Brentford
47.7%
222
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Brentford
1-1
Everton
Janelt (84')
Wissa (54'), Hickey (90+5')
Gordon (24')
Pickford (81'), Gordon (90+3')
May 15, 2022 4.30pm
Everton
2-3
Brentford
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (45+2' pen.)
Branthwaite (18'), Rondon (88')
Coleman (37' og.), Wissa (62'), Henry (64')
Bech Sorensen (10'), Jensen (27'), Ajer (40')
Feb 5, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Everton
4-1
Brentford
Mina (31'), Richarlison (48'), Holgate (62'), Townsend (90+1')
Gomes (24'), Gordon (67')
Toney (54' pen.)
Roerslev (42')
Nov 28, 2021 2pm
Brentford
1-0
Everton
Toney (24' pen.)
Onyeka (43'), Canos (51'), Jansson (66'), Mbeumo (90+2')

Townsend (38'), Rondon (66'), Godfrey (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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