Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
29.93% ( 0.94) | 24.67% ( -0.3) | 45.4% ( -0.64) |
Both teams to score 56.75% ( 1.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.96% ( 1.81) | 46.04% ( -1.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.66% ( 1.7) | 68.34% ( -1.7) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.26% ( 1.58) | 28.74% ( -1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% ( 1.93) | 64.58% ( -1.93) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.64% ( 0.47) | 20.36% ( -0.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.23% ( 0.74) | 52.76% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.93% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.46) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.59) 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.36) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.93% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.16) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.81% Total : 45.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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