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Croatia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
 
Wales national football team

Croatia
1 - 1
Wales

Kramaric (28')
Juranovic (31')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Broadhead (90+3')
Ampadu (25')

Preview: Croatia vs. Wales - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Croatia and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wales begin life without Gareth Bale by making the daunting trip to play World Cup third-placed team Croatia on Saturday evening.

Both nations have aspirations to finish at the top of their Euro 2024 qualification group, which also features Turkey, Armenia and Latvia.


Match preview

Wales manager Rob Page pictured on November 29, 2022© Reuters

There has been a feeling that Wales have been closing in on an end to an era for some time, and that was rubber-stamped when Bale hung up his boots after the World Cup.

In the short term, that is a considerable blow to this team, yet it will only encourage a greater togetherness now that they cannot rely on the individual brilliance of their greatest-ever player.

On the back of eight matches without success and a dismal World Cup campaign, that will be required if they are not to drop down the international pecking order.

While this group is more favourable than it could have been, there will be an acknowledgement that Robert Page's side are in a fight to finish in second spot behind their upcoming hosts.

That particularly rings true with Wales having never recorded a win over Croatia, losing three successive times on away territory since a 1-1 draw in 2002.

Croatia's Mislav Orsic celebrates scoring against Morocco at the World Cup on December 17, 2022© Reuters

Croatia also faced the prospect of eras coming to an end after a third-placed finish in Qatar, yet the likes of Luka Modric and Ivan Perisic have remained active on the international scene when Dejan Lovren has announced his national team retirement.

Zlatko Dalic will be delighted with the pair offering invaluable experience to the rest of the squad as they make another assault at trying to get over the line at a major tournament.

The Checkered Ones head into this qualifying campaign having lost just one of their last 13 matches in all competitions, that defeat being to eventual world champions Argentina at the semi-final stage.

Since the start of 2021, Croatia have succumbed on just one occasion in home fixtures, highlighting the size of Wales' task as they square off against the second-best performing European side in Qatar.

Croatia form (all competitions):


Wales form (all competitions):



Team News

Wales' Aaron Ramsey celebrates scoring their third goal, November 23, 2021© Reuters

With Lovren having brought an end to his international career, Josip Sutalo could get the nod in the centre of defence alongside Josko Gvardiol.

Nikola Vlasic is one of a number of alternatives to Mario Pasalic on the right flank, but much of the Croatia team which began the World Cup semi-final versus Argentina could start this match.

Wayne Hennessey and Ben Davies have both been forced to withdraw from the Wales squad, with Danny Ward and Ben Cabango in line to feature ahead of the pair.

The middle five should be as expected, with Ethan Ampadu being preferred there to defence and Aaron Ramsey captaining the side.

Daniel James is likely to partner Kieffer Moore in attack with Brennan Johnson having been ruled out through injury.

Croatia possible starting lineup:
Livakovic; Juranovic, Sutalo, Gvardiol, Sosa; Modric, Brozovic, Kovacic; Vlasic, Kramaric, Perisic

Wales possible starting lineup:
Ward; Mepham, Rodon, Cabango; Roberts, Ramsey, Ampadu, Wilson, Williams; James, Moore


SM words green background

We say: Croatia 2-0 Wales

Although Wales have other quality players that they can call upon, none of them can match the quality that was offered by Bale. Against quality opposition, they may come up short, leading us to predict a relatively comfortable triumph for the home side.



For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Game History

How you voted: Croatia vs Wales

Croatia
86.3%
Draw
7.2%
Wales
6.5%
153
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Wales manager Robert Page on September 25, 2022
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain870121
Q Scotland flag Scotland852117
3 Norway Norway832311
4 Georgia Georgia82248
5 Cyprus Cyprus80080

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q France France871022
Q Netherlands Netherlands860218
3 Greece Greece841313
4 Ireland Rep. Ireland82066
5 Gibraltar flag Gibraltar80080

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England862020
Q Italy Italy842214
3 Ukraine Ukraine842214
4 Macedonia N. Macedonia82248
5 Malta flag Malta80080

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Turkey Turkey852117
Q Croatia Croatia851216
3 Wales flag Wales833212
4 Armenia Armenia82248
5 Latvia Latvia81073

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Albania national flag Albania843115
Q Czech Republic Czech Republic843115
3 Poland Poland832311
4 Republic of Moldova Moldova824210
5 Faroe Islands Faroe Islands80262

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Belgium Belgium862020
Q Austria Austria861119
3 Sweden Sweden831410
4 Azerbaijan Azerbaijan82157
5 Estonia Estonia80171

Group G

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Hungary Hungary853018
Q Serbia Serbia842214
3 Montenegro Montenegro832311
4 Lithuania Lithuania81346
5 Bulgaria Bulgaria80444

Group H

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Denmark Denmark1071222
Q Slovenia Slovenia1071222
3 Finland Finland1060418
4 Kazakhstan Kazakhstan1060418
5 Northern Ireland flag N. Ireland103079
6 San Marino flag San Marino1000100

Group I

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania1064022
Q Switzerland Switzerland1045117
3 Israel Israel1043315
4 Belarus Belarus1033412
5 Kosovo flag Kosovo1025311
6 Andorra flag Andorra100282

Group J

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal10100030
Q Slovakia Slovakia1071222
3 Luxembourg flag Luxembourg1052317
4 Iceland Iceland1031610
5 Bosnia Bosnia H'vina103079
6 Liechtenstein flag Liechtenstein1000100


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