Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for FC Ingolstadt 04 had a probability of 18.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a FC Ingolstadt 04 win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.