2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 12pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
St Pauli2 - 1Arminia Bielefeld
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Arminia Bielefeld.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hamburger SV 4-3 St Pauli
Friday, April 21 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Friday, April 21 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Hannover
Saturday, April 22 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Saturday, April 22 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 61.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 17.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Pauli would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Pauli | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
61.56% ( 0.62) | 21.35% ( -0.04) | 17.09% ( -0.58) |
| Both teams to score 51.72% ( -1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
