Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.37%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.