Coverage of the Finnish Veikkausliiga clash between IFK Mariehamn and Ilves.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Ilves |
| 31.95% | 26.29% | 41.76% |
| Both teams to score 52.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.84% | 52.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.13% | 73.87% |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% | 30.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.34% | 66.66% |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% | 24.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.76% | 59.24% |
| Score Analysis |
IFK Mariehamn 31.95%
Ilves 41.75%
Draw 26.29%
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.94% 2-1 @ 7.44% 2-0 @ 5.32% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.11% 3-2 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.14% Total : 31.95% | 1-1 @ 12.5% 0-0 @ 7.52% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 10.51% 1-2 @ 8.74% 0-2 @ 7.35% 1-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 3.43% 2-3 @ 2.42% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.59% Total : 41.75% |
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2020 4.30pm
Gameweek 16
Ilves
4-3
Mariehamn
Ademi (21'), Fofana (62' og.), Karlstrom (90+1')
Maenpaa (39'), Makrillos (48')
Maenpaa (39'), Makrillos (48')
