Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 47.67%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.