Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Sportpark De Weeren
Nijmegen3 - 3AZ
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Utrecht 0-1 Nijmegen
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Saturday, March 15 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 AZ
Sunday, March 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Sunday, March 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Goals
for
for
42
We said: NEC 1-1 AZ Alkmaar
NEC have scored in every home fixture this season, and that trend is expected to continue against AZ on Saturday. However, a team with only one Eredivisie victory in seven at home facing an opponent with one away win in five suggests that the points could be shared in a score draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for NEC had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
34.15% ( 0) | 23.91% ( -0) | 41.94% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.27% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( -0) | 40.91% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% | 63.29% ( -0) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% | 23.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.27% ( 0) | 57.73% ( -0) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.23% ( -0) | 19.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.19% ( -0) | 51.81% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
NEC 34.15%
AZ Alkmaar 41.94%
Draw 23.91%
| NEC | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 7.88% 1-0 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.86% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 3.07% 3-0 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.15% | 1-1 @ 10.92% 2-2 @ 6.39% 0-0 @ 4.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.86% 0-1 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.79% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 3.32% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.94% 2-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.13% Total : 41.94% |
How you voted: Nijmegen vs AZ
NEC
25.0%Draw
15.0%AZ Alkmaar
60.0%20
