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Australian A-League | Gameweek 26
Apr 30, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Hindmarsh Stadium, Adelaide
Brisbane Roar

Adelaide United
2 - 0
Brisbane Roar

Blackwood (15'), Ibusuki (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Ivanovic (18'), Akbari (22'), Parsons (50'), Hingert (87'), Trewin (89')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

Last Six:
Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Adelaide United
Sunday, May 22 at 5.05am in Australian A-League

Brisbane Roar

Last Six:
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
46.8%24.31%28.89%
Both teams to score 57.29%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.97%45.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.62%67.38%
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64%19.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86%51.14%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.04%28.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.15%64.85%
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 46.8%
    Brisbane Roar 28.89%
    Draw 24.3%
Adelaide UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
2-1 @ 9.37%
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 4.14%
3-2 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 11.4%
2-2 @ 5.8%
0-0 @ 5.61%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.3%
1-2 @ 7.07%
0-1 @ 6.95%
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 2.92%
2-3 @ 2.4%
0-3 @ 1.78%
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 28.89%

Head to Head
Jan 23, 2022 7.45am
Brisbane Roar
1-3
Adelaide United
Mileusnic (2')
Daley (40')
Goodwin (24' pen., 85'), Mauk (48' pen.)
Toure (29'), Sanchez (55'), Mauk (69')
Dec 4, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Adelaide United

Daley (19'), Mlinaric (60'), Steinmann (89'), O'Shea (90+3')

Lopez (45'), Caletti (48'), Mauk (60')
Lopez (90+5')
Jun 13, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
1-2
Adelaide United
Parsons (56')
Aldred (67')
Juric (15', 19')
D'Arrigo (68')
May 16, 2021 9.10am
Adelaide United
1-0
Brisbane Roar
Goodwin (23')
Caletti (14'), Halloran (79'), Yengi (90')

Neville (90')
Jan 30, 2021 10.15am
Brisbane Roar
3-1
Adelaide United
Wenzel-Halls (37', 78'), O'Shea (45')
O'Shea (56'), Trewin (66'), Brown (87')
Konstandopoulos (82')
Caletti (41')
rhs 2.0
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