Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
55.84% ( 1.16) | 21.85% ( -0.45) | 22.31% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 59.05% ( 0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.35% ( 1.28) | 39.65% ( -1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38% ( 1.31) | 62% ( -1.31) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.89% ( 0.81) | 14.11% ( -0.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.25% ( 1.56) | 41.75% ( -1.56) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.76% ( 0.1) | 31.24% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.41% ( 0.11) | 67.59% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.29% Total : 55.84% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.41% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.84% | 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.72% Total : 22.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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