Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 35.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
40.44% ( 0.42) | 24.32% ( 0.32) | 35.24% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 60.03% ( -1.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.37% ( -1.62) | 42.63% ( 1.63) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.97% ( -1.64) | 65.03% ( 1.64) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.82% ( -0.5) | 21.17% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.95% ( -0.78) | 54.05% ( 0.79) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( -1.14) | 23.83% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( -1.67) | 58.01% ( 1.67) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.36) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.31% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.98% Total : 35.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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