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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Macarthur
Australian A-League | Gameweek 25
Apr 22, 2022 at 10.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Macarthur
1 - 4
Victory

Noone (56' pen.)
Jovanovic (84'), Rose (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Folami (28'), Brimmer (53' pen.), Miranda (81'), Brillante (90+5')
Marchan (56'), D'Agostino (67')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Macarthur

Last Six:
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Western Sydney
Sunday, May 8 at 7.05am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

Last Six:
Last Game: Victory 1-4 Western Utd
Saturday, May 21 at 8.15am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 36.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
MacarthurDrawMelbourne Victory
36.93%24.86%38.21%
Both teams to score 58.27%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55%45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.65%67.35%
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76%24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74%58.26%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.67%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.72%57.28%
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 36.93%
    Melbourne Victory 38.21%
    Draw 24.86%
MacarthurDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.3%
1-0 @ 7.99%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-2 @ 2.87%
3-0 @ 2.71%
4-1 @ 1.41%
4-2 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 36.93%
1-1 @ 11.63%
2-2 @ 6.04%
0-0 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.86%
1-2 @ 8.46%
0-1 @ 8.15%
0-2 @ 5.93%
1-3 @ 4.11%
2-3 @ 2.93%
0-3 @ 2.88%
1-4 @ 1.49%
2-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 38.21%

How you voted: Macarthur vs Victory

Macarthur
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Melbourne Victory
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2022 8.45am
Victory
3-1
Macarthur
D'Agostino (20', 45+2'), Rojas (58')
Geria (3'), Hamill (19'), Rojas (41'), Broxham (63')
Giannou (90')
Giannou (68')
May 14, 2021 10.05am
Macarthur
3-1
Victory
Derbyshire (4', 89'), Meredith (39')
Derbyshire (65')
Kamsoba (78')
> Preview
May 6, 2021 10.05am
Victory
1-2
Macarthur
Kamsoba (23')
Kruse (85')
Susaeta (31'), Meredith (69')
Milligan (80'), Derbyshire (90+3')
> Preview
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