Australian A-League | Gameweek 4
Oct 29, 2022 at 9.45am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
Macarthur2 - 3Sydney FC
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Sydney FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Macarthur
Friday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 2-2 Adelaide United
Sunday, October 23 at 5am in Australian A-League
Sunday, October 23 at 5am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 52.49%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 24.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.61%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Sydney FC |
24.83% ( -0.72) | 22.67% ( -0.12) | 52.49% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 59.32% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
