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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2022 at 9.45am UK
AAMI Park
Melbourne City

Victory
0 - 2
Melbourne City


Nani (16'), Brillante (25'), D'Agostino (48'), Cadete (90+2')
Brillante (35')
FT(HT: 0-2)
MacLaren (17' pen.), Cadete (19' og.)
Tilio (28')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Western Sydney
Saturday, October 15 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Melbourne City

All competitions
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Melbourne City
Friday, October 14 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Melbourne Victory win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
21% (0.056999999999999 0.06) 22.91% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 56.09% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.53% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.92% (0.042000000000002 0.04)46.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.62% (0.040000000000003 0.04)68.38% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (0.080999999999996 0.08)36.09% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (0.079999999999998 0.08)72.87% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)16.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.23% (-0.012 -0.01)45.77% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 21%
    Melbourne City 56.08%
    Draw 22.91%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
1-0 @ 5.98% (0.0029999999999992 0)
2-1 @ 5.53% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.05% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.88% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.71% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 21%
1-1 @ 10.85%
0-0 @ 5.86% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.91%
0-1 @ 10.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.87%
0-2 @ 9.68% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-3 @ 5.87% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 2.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
0-5 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 56.08%

Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 10.45am
Victory
3-0
Melbourne City
Brimmer (7' pen.), Rojas (14', 27')
Marchan (23')

Good (13'), Gomulka (87')
Mar 19, 2022 8.45am
Melbourne City
1-1
Victory
Good (45')
Tilio (42'), Reis (63'), Jenkinson (72'), Colakovski (90')
Rojas (19')
Miranda (29'), D'Agostino (83')
Dec 18, 2021 8.45am
Melbourne City
2-2
Victory
MacLaren (60'), Nabbout (63')
Metcalfe (36'), O'Neill (84'), Berenguer (86'), Jamieson (90+3')
MacLaren (90+6')
Margiotta (12'), D'Agostino (81')
Jun 6, 2021 7.05am
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
Brooks (90+5')
Roux (49'), Traore (50')
Ansell (54' og.)
O'Neill (72')
Apr 17, 2021 10.10am
Melbourne City
7-0
Victory
Nabbout (11'), MacLaren (34' pen., 64', 75' pen., 84', 85'), Luna (87')

McManaman (30'), Brimmer (88')
Traore (30')
rhs 2.0
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