Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.24%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
52.31% ( 0.56) | 21.85% ( -0.04) | 25.84% ( -0.51) |
Both teams to score 63.38% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.15% ( -0.23) | 35.85% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.07% ( -0.25) | 57.93% ( 0.25) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.07% ( 0.1) | 13.93% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.62% ( 0.19) | 41.38% ( -0.19) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.64% ( -0.48) | 26.36% ( 0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.49% ( -0.64) | 61.51% ( 0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.24% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 25.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Macarthur | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 10 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |