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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League
May 28, 2022 at 10.45am UK
AAMI Park
Western United

Melbourne City
0 - 2
Western Utd

FT(HT: 0-2)
Reis (2' og.), Prijovic (30')
Wenzel-Halls (65'), Wales (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Melbourne City 2-1 Western United

To a certain extent, Western have little to lose on Saturday, but that will not stop the experience being new for all involved. With that in mind, we feel that Melbourne could take advantage, backing up their regular season success and defending the crown that they won last season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 62.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Western United had a probability of 16.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
62.24% (-0.139 -0.14) 20.94% (0.026 0.03) 16.82% (0.112 0.11)
Both teams to score 52.51% (0.152 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.26% (0.081000000000003 0.08)43.73% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (0.079999999999998 0.08)66.12% (-0.080999999999989 -0.08)
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)13.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.5% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)40.5% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.69% (0.187 0.19)39.31% (-0.188 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.99% (0.174 0.17)76.01% (-0.17500000000001 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 62.22%
    Western United 16.82%
    Draw 20.94%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
2-0 @ 10.63% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0040000000000013 0)
3-0 @ 7.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 3.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.1% (0.015 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.55% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 62.22%
1-1 @ 9.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.94%
0-1 @ 4.95% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.63% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.44% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 16.82%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Western Utd

Melbourne City
55.0%
Draw
40.0%
Western United
5.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 6.05am
Western Utd
2-2
Melbourne City
Lacroix (16'), Krhin (30')
Imai (35'), Prijovic (42'), Lacroix (76')
Metcalfe (42'), MacLaren (65')
Jan 29, 2022 8.45am
Dec 4, 2021 8.45am
Apr 1, 2021 7.35am
Jan 16, 2021 8.10am
Melbourne City
2-1
Western Utd
Noone (32'), MacLaren (84')
Metcalfe (58')
Vujica (22')
Sanchez (42')
rhs 2.0
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