Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.