Australian A-League | Gameweek 18
Feb 26, 2023 at 4am UK
AAMI Park
Victory1 - 1Adelaide United
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Victory 3-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Saturday, February 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
19
Last Game: Adelaide United 4-4 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 19 at 4am in Australian A-League
Sunday, February 19 at 4am in Australian A-League
Goals
for
for
30
We said: Melbourne Victory 2-2 Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory have got a lot of momentum behind them after a major victory last weekend, and that should lead to them creating another strong performance. Adelaide United have struggled away from home, and while they are in a better league position it might end up being a draw this time around. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 21.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 1-0 (8.44%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
56.79% ( 0.21) | 21.48% ( -0.17) | 21.72% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.49% ( 0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.31% ( 0.72) | 38.69% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39% ( 0.76) | 60.99% ( -0.76) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.5% ( 0.3) | 13.49% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.47% ( 0.61) | 40.52% ( -0.61) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.77% ( 0.36) | 31.23% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.42% ( 0.42) | 67.57% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory 56.8%
Adelaide United 21.72%
Draw 21.48%
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.1)1-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.56% Total : 56.8% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.48% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 21.72% |
How you voted: Victory vs Adelaide United
Melbourne Victory
47.1%Draw
23.5%Adelaide United
29.4%17
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2023 8.45am
Nov 11, 2022 8.45am
Apr 2, 2022 9.45am
Jan 8, 2022 8.45am
Form Guide
