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Adelaide United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 15
Feb 4, 2023 at 8.45am UK
Coopers Stadium
Brisbane Roar

Adelaide United
2 - 1
Brisbane Roar

D'Arrigo (34'), Irankunda (82')
Clough (29'), Barr (46')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Knowles (37')
Hore (43'), O'Shea (47'), Aldred (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Adelaide United
Sunday, January 29 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 4-0 Brisbane Roar
Friday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Adelaide United 1-0 Brisbane Roar

Brisbane Roar have proven themselves to be difficult to break down this season, and because of that, this is likely going to be a low-scoring game. However, because the visitors are also struggling to score themselves, Adelaide United should be able to take three points in this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 44.54%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
44.54% (0.268 0.27) 25.89% (-0.096 -0.1) 29.57% (-0.172 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.55% (0.211 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.315 0.32)51.42% (-0.316 -0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.274 0.27)73.23% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.99% (0.264 0.26)23.01% (-0.266 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.18% (0.386 0.39)56.81% (-0.386 -0.39)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.26% (0.039000000000001 0.04)31.74% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.83% (0.042999999999999 0.04)68.17% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Adelaide United 44.54%
    Brisbane Roar 29.57%
    Draw 25.89%
Adelaide UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 10.73% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.88% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.052 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 44.54%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.093 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.07% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.7% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.84% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Adelaide United vs Brisbane Roar

Adelaide United
81.3%
Draw
12.5%
Brisbane Roar
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2022 8.45am
Apr 30, 2022 10.45am
Jan 23, 2022 7.45am
Brisbane Roar
1-3
Adelaide United
Mileusnic (2')
Daley (40')
Goodwin (24' pen., 85'), Mauk (48' pen.)
Toure (29'), Sanchez (55'), Mauk (69')
Dec 4, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
0-0
Adelaide United

Daley (19'), Mlinaric (60'), Steinmann (89'), O'Shea (90+3')

Lopez (45'), Caletti (48'), Mauk (60')
Lopez (90+5')
Jun 13, 2021 6.05am
rhs 2.0
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