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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 16
Feb 11, 2023 at 6am UK
Whitten Oval
Adelaide United

Western Utd
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Botic (43'), Prijovic (48')
Prijovic (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Clough (68'), Kitto (76'), Goodwin (86' pen.)
Irankunda (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Western Utd
Sunday, February 5 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Western United 1-2 Adelaide United

This is likely going to be a close match despite the difference between them in the league as Western United have been in good form overall as of late. At home the Western Service Crew tend to provide a stern test for any team, but it is something the visitors should just be able to overcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
41.57% (0.539 0.54) 23.81% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 34.62% (-0.474 -0.47)
Both teams to score 61.78% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.7% (0.185 0.19)40.3% (-0.18 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.33% (0.189 0.19)62.67% (-0.184 -0.18)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.33% (0.321 0.32)19.67% (-0.315 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.34% (0.516 0.52)51.66% (-0.512 -0.51)
Adelaide United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (-0.172 -0.17)23.09% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.06% (-0.255 -0.25)56.94% (0.261 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Western United 41.57%
    Adelaide United 34.62%
    Draw 23.8%
Western UnitedDrawAdelaide United
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.054 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.77% (0.076 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.038 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.26% (0.069 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.94% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.42% (0.029 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 41.57%
1-1 @ 10.82% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.45% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.54% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.71% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.8%
1-2 @ 7.93% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
0-1 @ 6.66% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.88% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.88% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 34.62%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Adelaide United

Western United
5.9%
Draw
5.9%
Adelaide United
88.2%
17
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 6am
Western Utd
2-4
Adelaide United
Milanovic (53'), Pierias (90+1')
Ibusuki (9'), Goodwin (22'), Lacroix (31' og.), Halloran (79')
D'Arrigo (45')
May 8, 2022 9.20am
Adelaide United
2-1
Western Utd
Lopez (14'), Kitto (51')
Popovic (20'), Gauci (77'), D'Arrigo (90+3')
Wenzel-Halls (5')
Prijovic (41'), Garuccio (90+2')
Dec 17, 2021 8.45am
Apr 30, 2021 10.35am
Adelaide United
0-0
Western Utd

D'Arrigo (16'), Halloran (32'), Goodwin (41'), Elsey (83'), Toure (84'), Toure (90')
Toure (90+4')

Sanchez (15'), Durante (90')
Sanchez (36')
Dec 28, 2020 8.05am
Western Utd
0-0
Adelaide United

Sanchez (37'), Diamanti (45+2'), Wales (56'), Calver (64'), A (65'), Lustica (90+2')

Smith (20'), Elsey (24'), Caletti (57')
rhs 2.0
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