Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Jan 6, 2023 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
Victory0 - 1Brisbane Roar
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Central Coast 2-1 Victory
Saturday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League
Saturday, December 31 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Friday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Friday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
We said: Melbourne Victory 1-1 Brisbane Roar
Victory will be thankful just to stop the losing run as they slip further towards the bottom, and the empty stadium means home advantage may be lost. Brisbane have been the draw specialists, and in another close-looking encounter, it is hard to see past yet another 1-1. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
39.15% ( 0.1) | 25.63% ( -0) | 35.22% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0) | 48.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( -0) | 70.76% ( 0) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.52% ( 0.05) | 24.47% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.07% ( 0.07) | 58.92% ( -0.07) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.33% ( -0.06) | 26.66% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.08% ( -0.08) | 61.91% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory 39.15%
Brisbane Roar 35.22%
Draw 25.63%
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
| 1-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.15% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.54% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 35.22% |
How you voted: Victory vs Brisbane Roar
Melbourne Victory
42.5%Draw
30.0%Brisbane Roar
27.5%40
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 5am
Apr 25, 2022 5.05am
Apr 12, 2022 10.05am
Nov 28, 2021 5.05am
Feb 6, 2021 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
5-2
Victory
Lawrie-Lattanzio (19'), Brimmer (45+5')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (33'), Broxham (43'), Shotton (79'), Kirdar (86')
Lawrie-Lattanzio (33'), Broxham (43'), Shotton (79'), Kirdar (86')
Form Guide
