Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 51.08%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
25.64% ( -0.15) | 23.28% ( 0.18) | 51.08% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.79) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.26% ( -0.97) | 42.74% ( 0.97) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.86% ( -0.97) | 65.14% ( 0.97) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.83% ( -0.64) | 30.17% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.68% ( -0.77) | 66.32% ( 0.77) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% ( -0.37) | 16.82% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.21% ( -0.66) | 46.79% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.07% Total : 25.64% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.27% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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