Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 36.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.