Central Coast2 - 1Victory
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, December 27 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Monday, December 26 at 7am in Australian A-League
We said: Central Coast Mariners 3-1 Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory have struggled to find the back of the net on a consistent basis of late, while Central Coast Mariners boast more goals than any other Australian team this term. We are tipping the hosts to ease past the threat of their visitors and come away with all three points in the end. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
36.94% ( 0.18) | 25.35% ( 0.16) | 37.7% ( -0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.73% ( -0.71) | 47.27% ( 0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.5% ( -0.66) | 69.5% ( 0.66) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( -0.23) | 25.04% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.29% ( -0.32) | 59.71% ( 0.32) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.5) | 24.62% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.87% ( -0.71) | 59.13% ( 0.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 36.94% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.92% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.85% Total : 37.7% |
How you voted: Central Coast vs Victory
Barnett (72'), Athiu (90+1')
