Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.