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Western United
Australian A-League | Gameweek 10
Dec 30, 2022 at 8.45am UK
Whitten Oval
Brisbane Roar

Western Utd
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar

Prijovic (78')
Diamanti (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Armiento (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western United and Brisbane Roar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Victory
Monday, December 26 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Western Sydney
Friday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

We said: Western United 2-1 Brisbane Roar

Given Western United's dominance of this fixture of late, the hosts are favourites to come away with all three points here, and we are tipping them to live up to expectations and get the job done at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Western United had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Western UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
31.6% (0.104 0.1) 26% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 42.4% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.133 0.13)51.05% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.116 0.12)72.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.87% (0.136 0.14)30.13% (-0.136 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.72% (0.16399999999999 0.16)66.27% (-0.164 -0.16)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (0.019000000000005 0.02)23.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (0.026999999999994 0.03)58.09% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Western United 31.6%
    Brisbane Roar 42.4%
    Draw 25.99%
Western UnitedDrawBrisbane Roar
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.42% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 31.6%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 10.3% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.85% (-0.0029999999999983 -0)
0-2 @ 7.38% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 4.22%
0-3 @ 3.52% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.51% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 42.4%

How you voted: Western Utd vs Brisbane Roar

Western United
46.3%
Draw
41.5%
Brisbane Roar
12.2%
41
Head to Head
Mar 26, 2022 6.05am
Brisbane Roar
2-3
Western Utd
Lescano (3'), O'Shea (88' pen.)
Hore (50'), Daley (56'), Aldred (82')
Holmes (30')
Bayew (35'), Neville (59' og.), Prijovic (83')
Topor-Stanley (20'), Imai (53'), Wenzel-Halls (67'), Pierias (69')
Dec 11, 2021 6.05am
May 5, 2021 10.05am
Mar 14, 2021 7.40am
Aug 23, 2020 9am
Brisbane Roar
0-1
Western Utd

Aldred (39'), McDonald (64')
Diamanti (21')
Uskok (4'), Imai (45+1'), Durante (68')
rhs 2.0
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