Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.92%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
48.92% ( 0) | 23.9% ( 0.03) | 27.18% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.39% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% ( -0.15) | 44.31% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.32% ( -0.15) | 66.68% ( 0.15) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.77% ( -0.06) | 18.22% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.75% ( -0.1) | 49.24% ( 0.1) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.18% ( -0.1) | 29.82% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% ( -0.13) | 65.9% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
2-1 @ 9.53% 1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 48.92% | 1-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.89% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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