Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
47.03% ( 0.23) | 23.11% ( 0.12) | 29.86% ( -0.36) |
Both teams to score 62.19% ( -0.69) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.14% ( -0.8) | 38.86% ( 0.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.82% ( -0.85) | 61.17% ( 0.84) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.14% ( -0.22) | 16.86% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.12% ( -0.4) | 46.87% ( 0.39) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.8% ( -0.62) | 25.2% ( 0.62) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.06% ( -0.87) | 59.93% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Sydney FC | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 4.24% Total : 47.03% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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