Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
43.44% ( -0.04) | 25.55% ( -0) | 31.01% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.37% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.6% ( 0.03) | 49.39% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.56% ( 0.03) | 71.44% ( -0.03) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% ( -0.01) | 22.66% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.7% ( -0.02) | 56.3% ( 0.01) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% ( 0.05) | 29.7% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.25% ( 0.06) | 65.75% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.44% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 8.17% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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