Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.06%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Central Coast Mariners in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Central Coast Mariners.
Result | ||
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
36.13% ( 0.09) | 24.78% ( 0) | 39.09% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.31% ( 0) | 44.68% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.95% ( 0) | 67.05% ( -0) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.71% ( 0.05) | 24.29% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.33% ( 0.07) | 58.67% ( -0.08) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% ( -0.05) | 22.74% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.59% ( -0.07) | 56.41% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Brisbane Roar | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 36.13% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.23% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.27% Total : 39.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 19 |
2 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 18 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 17 |
4 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 14 |
5 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Macarthur | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 9 |
11 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 6 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 24 | -19 | 5 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 2 |
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