MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 13:12:57| >> :60:227:227:
AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 27, 2023 at 4pm UK
Abdullah bin Nasser bin Khalifa Stadium

Al-Duhail
2 - 0
Istiqlol Dushanbe

Olunga (47', 89')
Madibo (9'), Ellethy (80'), Said (90+5')
Semedo (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sebai (22'), Karomatullozoda (80')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Al-Duhail and Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al-Duhail 2-3 Al-Nassr
Tuesday, November 7 at 6pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Istiqlol Dushanbe 1-1 Persepolis
Tuesday, November 7 at 2pm in AFC Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Al Gharafa293.22Brahimi
2Al-Sadd213.00Afif
3Al-Duhail182.57Olunga
4Al Ahli171.89Sliti
5Al-Rayyan161.78Guedes
6Al Shamal151.67Gomes
7Al Wakrah151.88Benyettou
8Qatar SC151.67Tabata
9Umm Salal151.67Delort
10Al Arabi141.75Al Somah
11Al Mu'aidar131.44Mbenza
12Al Markhiya50.56Njie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 52.62%. A win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 25.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.39%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Istiqlol Dushanbe win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.

Result
Al-DuhailDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
52.62% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02) 21.88% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 25.51% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 62.93% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.7% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)36.3% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.57% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)58.43% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Al-Duhail Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.02% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)13.99% (0.013 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)41.5% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)26.84% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al-Duhail 52.62%
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 25.51%
    Draw 21.88%
Al-DuhailDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
2-1 @ 9.55%
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.26% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 4.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 3.08% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 52.62%
1-1 @ 9.71% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 21.88%
1-2 @ 6.39% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-1 @ 4.94% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.92%
2-4 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 25.51%

Head to Head
Sep 19, 2023 5pm
Group Stage
Istiqlol Dushanbe
0-0
Al-Duhail
Gogoua (90+6')
Bamba (53'), Mohamad Hassan (90+3'), Semedo (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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