Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai SIPG win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai SIPG win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors win was 1-0 (10.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai SIPG would win this match.