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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Francistown Stadium
Cape Verde national football team

Botswana
1 - 0
Cape Verde

Sesinyi (52')
Johnson (2'), Ramotse (22'), Seakanyeng (79'), Kebatho (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Arcanjo (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Botswana and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Botswana

Last Game: Cape Verde 0-1 Botswana
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Cape Verde

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Cape Verde 0-1 Botswana
Thursday, October 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Botswana 1-2 Cape Verde

 Cape Verde will be scratching their head as to how they dropped all three points on Friday despite their dominance in front of tier home supporters. On paper, Bubista's men remain favourites heading into Tuesday and we are backing them to come away with all three points, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botswana win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botswana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Botswana in this match.

Result
BotswanaDrawCape Verde
39.09% (0.103 0.1) 29.29% (0.137 0.14) 31.62% (-0.243 -0.24)
Both teams to score 43.59% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.85% (-0.488 -0.49)63.14% (0.486 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.42% (-0.355 -0.36)82.57% (0.35299999999999 0.35)
Botswana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (-0.188 -0.19)31.42% (0.185 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (-0.216 -0.22)67.8% (0.214 0.21)
Cape Verde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.57% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)36.43% (0.441 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.78% (-0.45 -0.45)73.21% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Botswana 39.09%
    Cape Verde 31.62%
    Draw 29.28%
BotswanaDrawCape Verde
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.67% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.96% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.51% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.09%
1-1 @ 13.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.44% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 29.28%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 31.62%

How you voted: Botswana vs Cape Verde

Botswana
26.3%
Draw
15.8%
Cape Verde
57.9%
38
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Cape Verde
0-1
Botswana

Costa (41')
Orebonye (2')
Velaphi (5'), Mohutsiwa (35'), Phoko (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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