COSAFA Cup | Group Stage

Jun 27, 2024 at 2pm UK

Nelson Mandela Bay Stadium

Comoros
0 - 1
Zimbabwe

Dine Mohamed (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tapera (53')
Hativagoni (38'), Tapera (47')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the COSAFA Cup Group Stage clash between Comoros and Zimbabwe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Comoros

All competitions

Last Game: Chad 0-2 Comoros
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Morocco	3	3	7
2	Gabon	3	1	5
3	Comoros	3	-2	3
4	Ghana	3	-2	1

Zimbabwe

All competitions

Last Game: South Africa 3-1 Zimbabwe
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Comoros win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Comoros win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Comoros	Draw	Zimbabwe
50.82% ( 0.8)	25.88% ( -0.14)	23.3% ( -0.67)

Both teams to score 47.52% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.5% (

-0.06)

55.5% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.32% (

-0.05)

76.68% (

0.05)

Comoros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.11% (

0.32)

21.89% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.85% (

0.49)

55.15% (

-0.49)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.84% (

-0.66)

39.16% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.13% (

-0.63)

75.87% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Comoros 50.81%

Zimbabwe 23.3%

Draw 25.87%

Comoros	Draw	Zimbabwe
1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 50.81%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.45% Total : 23.3%