MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 12:17:35| >> :600:4779857:4779857:
Ethiopia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade des Martyrs de la Pentecote
Tanzania national football team

Ethiopia
0 - 2
Tanzania


Demissie (52'), Manula (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Msuva (15'), Salum (31')
Dismas (58'), Mnata (69'), Manula (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ethiopia and Tanzania, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 0-3 Guinea
Tuesday, October 15 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tanzania 0-2 Congo DR
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ethiopia 1-1 Tanzania

While Ethiopia have enjoyed the better of this fixture, Tanzania head into the game having been the better side in qualifying, but we believe that the hosts will do just enough to get something from this fixture, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tanzania win with a probability of 37.71%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 33.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tanzania win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 1-0 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tanzania would win this match.

Result
EthiopiaDrawTanzania
33.91% (-1.731 -1.73) 28.38% (-0.715 -0.72) 37.71% (2.443 2.44)
Both teams to score 46.53% (1.926 1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.25% (2.401 2.4)59.75% (-2.405 -2.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.95% (1.799 1.8)80.05% (-1.805 -1.81)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (0.091999999999999 0.09)33% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.42% (0.106 0.11)69.58% (-0.11 -0.11)
Tanzania Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44% (2.781 2.78)30.56% (-2.785 -2.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21% (3.174 3.17)66.79% (-3.179 -3.18)
Score Analysis
    Ethiopia 33.9%
    Tanzania 37.7%
    Draw 28.38%
EthiopiaDrawTanzania
1-0 @ 11.17% (-1.03 -1.03)
2-1 @ 7.35% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.2% (-0.549 -0.55)
3-1 @ 2.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.29% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 1.61% (0.11 0.11)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 13.25% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 10.08% (-0.95 -0.95)
2-2 @ 4.36% (0.286 0.29)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.38%
0-1 @ 11.95% (-0.16 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.86% (0.497 0.5)
0-2 @ 7.09% (0.431 0.43)
1-3 @ 3.11% (0.41 0.41)
0-3 @ 2.8% (0.363 0.36)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.232 0.23)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.18 0.18)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.7%

How you voted: Ethiopia vs Tanzania

Ethiopia
33.3%
Draw
20.0%
Tanzania
46.7%
30
Head to Head
Sep 4, 2024 5pm
Group Stage
Tanzania
0-0
Ethiopia
Gaudence Msindo (67'), Dismas (81')
Wolde Waza (30')
rhs 2.0
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