MX23RW : Friday, January 31 09:11:59| >> :600:3408776:3408776:
Djibouti national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Ben Ahmed El Abdi
Ethiopia national football team

Djibouti
1 - 1
Ethiopia

Dadzie (29')
Mohamed Aden (25'), Mohamed (87'), Mouktar Youssouf (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wondimu Dibaba (31')
Tafesse (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Djibouti and Ethiopia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sierra Leone 2-1 Djibouti
Wednesday, June 5 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-0 Ethiopia
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Djibouti 1-2 Ethiopia

Ethiopia and Djibouti might both be struggling but the visitors have more match-winners in their ranks and have dominated this fixture over the years. We are tipping them to edge this affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ethiopia win with a probability of 55.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Djibouti had a probability of 20.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.35%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Djibouti win it was 1-0 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
DjiboutiDrawEthiopia
20.49% (-2.325 -2.33) 23.83% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 55.67% (2.295 2.3)
Both teams to score 49.93% (-3.234 -3.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.51% (-2.722 -2.72)50.49% (2.718 2.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.58% (-2.46 -2.46)72.41% (2.455 2.46)
Djibouti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.88% (-3.821 -3.82)39.12% (3.816 3.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.16% (-3.778 -3.78)75.83% (3.773 3.77)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)17.98% (0.153 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.16% (-0.269 -0.27)48.83% (0.264 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Djibouti 20.49%
    Ethiopia 55.66%
    Draw 23.82%
DjiboutiDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 6.6% (0.049 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.32% (-0.567 -0.57)
2-0 @ 3.1% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-1 @ 1.66% (-0.379 -0.38)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.334 -0.33)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 20.49%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.741 0.74)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.512 -0.51)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 12.06% (1.21 1.21)
0-2 @ 10.35% (0.993 0.99)
1-2 @ 9.72% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.92% (0.544 0.54)
1-3 @ 5.56% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.308 -0.31)
0-4 @ 2.54% (0.221 0.22)
1-4 @ 2.38% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.138 -0.14)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 55.66%

How you voted: Djibouti vs Ethiopia

Djibouti
11.1%
Draw
18.5%
Ethiopia
70.4%
27
rhs 2.0
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