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Gabon national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de Franceville
Lesotho national football team

Gabon
0 - 0
Lesotho

FT

Toloane (17'), Malakia Sefoli (41'), Mats'oele (44'), Makhele (53'), Makateng (71'), Moerane (90+3'), Lebokollane (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gabon and Lesotho, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Gabon 2-0 CAR
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Morocco
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gabon 2-0 Lesotho

Gabon have won their last three home matches, while Lesotho are winless in their last six games, and considering these forms, we anticipate the home side to win this match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 67.49%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Lesotho had a probability of 9.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 19.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.39%) and 3-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.4%), while for a Lesotho win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
GabonDrawLesotho
67.49% (1.621 1.62) 22.63% (-0.97 -0.97) 9.88% (-0.653 -0.65)
Both teams to score 30.91% (0.147 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.96% (1.524 1.52)63.04% (-1.529 -1.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.51% (1.089 1.09)82.49% (-1.092 -1.09)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.65% (1.186 1.19)18.35% (-1.19 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (1.975 1.98)49.46% (-1.979 -1.98)
Lesotho Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
37.86% (-0.378 -0.38)62.14% (0.373 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.29% (-0.182 -0.18)91.7% (0.178 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Gabon 67.49%
    Lesotho 9.88%
    Draw 22.63%
GabonDrawLesotho
1-0 @ 19.33% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-0 @ 16.39% (0.31 0.31)
3-0 @ 9.27% (0.508 0.51)
2-1 @ 7.8% (0.048 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.41% (0.189 0.19)
4-0 @ 3.93% (0.353 0.35)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.146 0.15)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.164 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.05% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 67.49%
0-0 @ 11.4% (-0.66 -0.66)
1-1 @ 9.2% (-0.296 -0.3)
2-2 @ 1.86% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.63%
0-1 @ 5.42% (-0.39 -0.39)
1-2 @ 2.19% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.29% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 9.88%

How you voted: Gabon vs Lesotho

Gabon
80.0%
Draw
5.0%
Lesotho
15.0%
20
rhs 2.0
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