We said: Morocco 1-1 Gabon
Morocco have already secured qualification to the AFCON as hosts, which could affect their zeal in this game as it will only be a preparatory game for them – combined with their struggles against Gabon, this is why we think that the visitors can get a result here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 11.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.84%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
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