MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 06:07:42| >> :600:3980065:3980065:
Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade d'Agadir
Gabon national football team

Morocco
4 - 1
Gabon

Ziyech (10' pen., 26' pen.), Diaz (59'), El Kaabi (82')
Abqar (15')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Aubameyang (40' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Morocco and Gabon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Last Game: Congo 0-6 Morocco
Tuesday, June 11 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Gabon

All competitions
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-0 Gabon
Friday, June 7 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Morocco337
2Gabon315
3Comoros3-23
4Ghana3-21

We said: Morocco 1-1 Gabon

 Morocco have already secured qualification to the AFCON as hosts, which could affect their zeal in this game as it will only be a preparatory game for them – combined with their struggles against Gabon, this is why we think that the visitors can get a result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 66.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 11.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.84%) and 3-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawGabon
66.57% (-0.877 -0.88) 21.86% (0.473 0.47) 11.57% (0.408 0.41)
Both teams to score 37.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.65% (-0.766 -0.77)57.35% (0.769 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.83% (-0.612 -0.61)78.17% (0.61499999999999 0.61)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.4% (-0.55799999999999 -0.56)16.6% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.59% (-1.015 -1.02)46.41% (1.019 1.02)
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.55% (0.284 0.28)55.45% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.85% (0.166 0.17)88.15% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 66.56%
    Gabon 11.57%
    Draw 21.86%
MoroccoDrawGabon
1-0 @ 16.52% (0.17 0.17)
2-0 @ 14.84% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-0 @ 8.88% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-1 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-0 @ 3.99% (-0.19 -0.19)
4-1 @ 2.35% (-0.091 -0.09)
3-2 @ 1.55% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.43% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 66.56%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.183 0.18)
0-0 @ 9.2% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 2.58% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.86%
0-1 @ 5.43% (0.203 0.2)
1-2 @ 2.87% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 1.6% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 11.57%

How you voted: Morocco vs Gabon

Morocco
78.0%
Draw
20.0%
Gabon
2.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Gabon
2-2
Morocco
Allevinah (21'), Aguerd (81' og.)
Obiang (36'), Boupendza (45+1')
Boufal (74' pen.), Hakimi (84')
Amrabat (38')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2019 8pm
International Friendlies
Morocco
2-3
Gabon
Amrabat (32', 69' pen.)
Boupendza (22'), Bouanga (48'), Chebake (81' og.)
Bouanga (44'), Aubameyang (49')
rhs 2.0
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