MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 02:27:28| >> :600:4744451:4744451:
Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 24, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Stade 28 Septembre
Ethiopia national football team

Guinea
2 - 0
Ethiopia

Kamano (39'), Bayo (73')
Guilavogui (26'), Bayo (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Yohannes (18'), Hamid (25'), Panomo (45')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Guinea and Ethiopia.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 3-1 Guinea
Tuesday, September 27 at 7pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ethiopia 1-0 Rwanda
Sunday, March 19 at 12pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Ethiopia had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.7%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Ethiopia win it was 0-1 (6.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.

Result
GuineaDrawEthiopia
61.76% (1.303 1.3) 23.98% (-0.417 -0.42) 14.27% (-0.884 -0.88)
Both teams to score 38.51% (-0.78599999999999 -0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.4% (0.037000000000006 0.04)59.6% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)79.93% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (0.508 0.51)19.14% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (0.829 0.83)50.79% (-0.827 -0.83)
Ethiopia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.63% (-1.278 -1.28)52.37% (1.281 1.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.76% (-0.841 -0.84)86.24% (0.845 0.84)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 61.75%
    Ethiopia 14.27%
    Draw 23.97%
GuineaDrawEthiopia
1-0 @ 16.57% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 13.7% (0.42 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.55% (0.341 0.34)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.188 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.02% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.03% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 61.75%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 10.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.87% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.48% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-2 @ 3.47% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 2.1% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 14.27%

How you voted: Guinea vs Ethiopia

Guinea
52.6%
Draw
15.8%
Ethiopia
31.6%
19
rhs 2.0
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