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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Guinea national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade Municipal de Coléah
Malawi national football team

Guinea
1 - 0
Malawi

Keita (90+1')
Dansoko (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Idana (36'), Sanudi (40'), Thomu (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Guinea and Malawi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Guinea

Last Six:
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Guinea vs. Ethiopia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Malawi

Last Six:
Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Malawi
Thursday, June 9 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Egypt vs. Malawi
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Guinea 2-1 Malawi

 While Malawi will look to build on their opening-day victory, they have struggled for results away from home, where they are currently on a six-game losing streak. We predict the hosts will make amends for their defeat against Egypt and claim a slender win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guinea win with a probability of 52.29%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 24.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guinea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Guinea would win this match.

Result
GuineaDrawMalawi
52.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 22.75% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)63.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Guinea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27%15.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)29.74% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)65.81% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Guinea 52.29%
    Malawi 24.97%
    Draw 22.74%
GuineaDrawMalawi
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 2.77% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.68%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 52.29%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 5.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.74%
1-2 @ 6.36% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 5.67%
0-2 @ 3.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.38%
0-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 24.97%

How you voted: Guinea vs Malawi

Guinea
59.4%
Draw
21.9%
Malawi
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Jan 10, 2022 4pm
Group B
Guinea
1-0
Malawi
Sylla (35')
Conte (75')

Idana (81'), Mbulu (83')
rhs 2.0
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