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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Ivory Coast national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 19, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny
Chad national football team

Ivory Coast
4 - 0
Chad

Issouf Bayo (25'), Adingra (37'), Agbadou (77'), Diakite (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Thiam (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Ivory Coast and Chad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ivory Coast

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 1-0 Ivory Coast
Friday, November 15 at 4pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Chad

Last Game: Chad 1-1 Sierra Leone
Wednesday, November 13 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Ivory Coast 2-0 Chad

 After a blistering start to the campaign, Ivory Coast have suffered consecutive defeats in their last two outings and will be looking to stop the rot in front of their home supporters. Given the gulf in quality and depth between the two nations, we are backing the Elephants to come away with a comfortable victory at the Stade Felix Houphouet-Boigny. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 85.13%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 3.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 2-0 with a probability of 17.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (15.22%) and 1-0 (13.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (5.39%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (1.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ivory Coast would win this match.

Result
Ivory CoastDrawChad
85.13% (0.051000000000002 0.05) 11.48% (0.055 0.05) 3.39% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 27.41% (-1.035 -1.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.9% (-0.884 -0.88)44.1% (0.884 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.52% (-0.866 -0.87)66.48% (0.866 0.87)
Ivory Coast Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.34% (-0.176 -0.18)7.66% (0.176 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.66% (-0.459 -0.46)27.34% (0.459 0.46)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
29.68% (-1.062 -1.06)70.32% (1.063 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
4.92% (-0.383 -0.38)95.08% (0.38300000000001 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Ivory Coast 85.11%
    Chad 3.39%
    Draw 11.48%
Ivory CoastDrawChad
2-0 @ 17.77% (0.36 0.36)
3-0 @ 15.22% (0.17 0.17)
1-0 @ 13.83% (0.4 0.4)
4-0 @ 9.78% (0.023 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.26% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-1 @ 5.36% (-0.168 -0.17)
5-0 @ 5.03% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.44% (-0.141 -0.14)
6-0 @ 2.15% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.77% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-2 @ 0.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 85.11%
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.204 0.2)
1-1 @ 4.87% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-2 @ 1.1% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 11.48%
0-1 @ 1.9% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 3.39%

How you voted: Ivory Coast vs Chad

Ivory Coast
82.6%
Draw
17.4%
Chad
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Chad
0-2
Ivory Coast

Osee (25'), Ngouyamsa (62')
Krasso (45+3'), Diakite (55')
Singo (22'), N'Dicka (67')
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