Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 15, 2024 at 4pm UK
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium
Zambia1 - 0Ivory Coast
Musonda (43')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chad 0-1 Zambia
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Zambia | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 3 | -3 | 2 |
Last Game: Sierra Leone 1-0 Ivory Coast
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, October 15 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 6 | 7 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 3 | -3 | 3 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Zambia 1-2 Ivory Coast
Both teams will have every reason to believe they can come out on top in this one, and that should lead to an open and end-to-end contest. That said, we are backing Ivory Coast to narrowly pip their hosts to all three points at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ivory Coast win with a probability of 44.45%. A win for Zambia had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ivory Coast win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.63%). The likeliest Zambia win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Ivory Coast |
27.99% ( -0.02) | 27.56% ( -0.01) | 44.45% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.73% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
