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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade d'Honneur d'Oujda
Central African Republic national football team

Morocco
5 - 0
CAR

Ezzalzouli (18'), Ounahi (38', 45+2'), Hakimi (45'), Rahimi (70' pen.)
Rahimi (32'), Akhomach (86')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Ngoma (55'), Kondogbia (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Morocco and Central African Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morocco

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Lesotho 0-1 Morocco
Monday, September 9 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Central African Republic

Last Game: Gabon 2-0 CAR
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Morocco 3-1 Central African Republic

 While the Central African Republic have earned a few impressive results in recent months, they have not faced a side with the type of talent Morocco possesses, and we feel the visitors will be unable to keep up with the Atlas Lions in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 83.57%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for Central African Republic had a probability of 4.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.3%) and 1-0 (10.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.51%), while for a Central African Republic win it was 0-1 (2.03%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawCentral African Republic
83.57% (0.435 0.44) 11.72% (-0.19 -0.19) 4.71% (-0.249 -0.25)
Both teams to score 37.07% (-1.128 -1.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.32% (-0.381 -0.38)37.68% (0.379 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.08% (-0.409 -0.41)59.92% (0.407 0.41)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)6.66% (-0.0131 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.29% (0.034000000000006 0.03)24.7% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Central African Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.71% (-1.215 -1.22)60.28% (1.212 1.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.2% (-0.629 -0.63)90.79% (0.626 0.63)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 83.55%
    Central African Republic 4.71%
    Draw 11.72%
MoroccoDrawCentral African Republic
2-0 @ 14.73% (0.29 0.29)
3-0 @ 13.3% (0.27 0.27)
1-0 @ 10.87% (0.2 0.2)
4-0 @ 9.01% (0.189 0.19)
2-1 @ 7.46% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.73% (-0.128 -0.13)
5-0 @ 4.88% (0.106 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.56% (-0.083 -0.08)
5-1 @ 2.47% (-0.043 -0.04)
6-0 @ 2.2% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.068 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.12% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 83.55%
1-1 @ 5.51% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.02% (0.073 0.07)
2-2 @ 1.89% (-0.115 -0.12)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 11.72%
0-1 @ 2.03% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-2 @ 1.39% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 4.71%

How you voted: Morocco vs CAR

Morocco
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Central African Republic
0.0%
24
rhs 2.0
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