MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 23:14:12| >> :600:1212909:1212909:
Morocco national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade d'Agadir
Zambia national football team

Morocco
2 - 1
Zambia

Ziyech (6' pen.), Ben Seghir (67')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chilufya (80')
Prosper Mphand (43'), Kangwa (72'), Musonda (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Morocco and Zambia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Morocco 0-0 Mauritania
Tuesday, March 26 at 10pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Zambia 2-1 Malawi
Tuesday, March 26 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Morocco 2-0 Zambia

Given the superior match-winning quality available to Regragui, Morocco should make the most of playing in front of their supporters to record maximum points at Zambia's expense and pull clear of the Copper Bullets in Group E. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Zambia had a probability of 18.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Zambia win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.

Result
MoroccoDrawZambia
55.87% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16) 25.97% (0.088999999999999 0.09) 18.16% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Both teams to score 40.72% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.16% (-0.203 -0.2)60.84% (0.202 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.13% (-0.154 -0.15)80.87% (0.152 0.15)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.04% (-0.154 -0.15)21.96% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.75% (-0.232 -0.23)55.25% (0.231 0.23)
Zambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.18% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.82% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.9% (-0.023 -0.02)83.1% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 55.86%
    Zambia 18.16%
    Draw 25.96%
MoroccoDrawZambia
1-0 @ 15.91% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.1% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.31% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.71% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 11.74% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.5% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 3.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 7.75% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.33% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.86% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 18.16%

How you voted: Morocco vs Zambia

Morocco
77.1%
Draw
12.5%
Zambia
10.4%
48
Head to Head
Jan 24, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Zambia
0-1
Morocco
Ziyech (37')
Hakimi (81')
Jun 19, 2023 1am
Jan 31, 2021 4pm
Quarter-Finals
Morocco
3-1
Zambia
Rahimi (1'), Ali Bemammer (8'), El Kaabi (39' pen.)
Phiri (80')
Sikombe (77')
Z (20')
Jun 16, 2019 6.30pm
International Friendlies
Morocco
2-3
Zambia
Ziyech (24', 55' pen.)
Hakimi (42'), Abdelhamid (75'), Boussoufa (79')
Musonda (1'), Kangwa (44'), Mwepu (74')
Kangwa (41'), Chongo (53'), Mwepu (56')
rhs 2.0
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