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Africa Cup Of Nations section header

Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Benin national football team

Mozambique
3 - 2
Benin

Witi (27'), Guimaraes (31'), Bauque (90+5')
Catamo (87')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mounie (20' pen.), Dossou (50')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Group Stage clash between Mozambique and Benin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

Last Game: Mauritius 0-1 Mozambique
Wednesday, July 12 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup

Benin

All competitions
Last Game: Benin 1-1 Senegal
Saturday, June 17 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mozambique win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Benin had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mozambique win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mozambique would win this match.

Result
MozambiqueDrawBenin
38.68% (0.217 0.22) 28.41% (-0.090999999999998 -0.09) 32.91% (-0.123 -0.12)
Both teams to score 46.29% (0.232 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.02% (0.298 0.3)59.98% (-0.296 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.78% (0.226 0.23)80.22% (-0.226 -0.23)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (0.27799999999999 0.28)30.08% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.78% (0.332 0.33)66.22% (-0.33 -0.33)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2% (0.070999999999998 0.07)33.8% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54% (0.074999999999999 0.07)70.46% (-0.073000000000008 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 38.67%
    Benin 32.91%
    Draw 28.39%
MozambiqueDrawBenin
1-0 @ 12.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.96% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.34% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.043 0.04)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.73% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 38.67%
1-1 @ 13.24% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.16% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 11.03% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 7.19% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 32.91%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Benin

Mozambique
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
Benin
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Benin
0-1
Mozambique

Ahlinvi (41'), Doremus (45'), Fadil Bawa (55')
Catamo (38')
Gaspar Pelembe (3'), Mandava (21'), Mexer (33'), Ernan (58')
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