Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage

Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK

Mozambique
0 - 1
Senegal

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dia (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

All competitions

Last Game: Chad 2-2 Mozambique
Monday, November 17 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Ivory Coast vs. Mozambique
Wednesday, December 24 at 5.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Cape Verde	3	4	7
2	Egypt	3	0	3
3	Ghana	3	-1	2
4	Mozambique	3	-3	2

Senegal

All competitions

Last Game: Kenya 0-8 Senegal
Tuesday, November 18 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Senegal vs. Botswana
Tuesday, December 23 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	7	9
2	Cameroon	3	-1	4
3	Guinea	3	-1	4
4	Gambia	3	-5	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
Mozambique	Draw	Senegal
12.85% ( 0)	23.64% ( -0.13)	63.51% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 36.22% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.23% (

0.42)

60.77% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.18% (

0.32)

80.82% (

-0.31)

Mozambique Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

44.68% (

0.26)

55.32% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.93% (

0.16)

88.07% (

-0.16)

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.06% (

0.21)

18.94% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.55% (

0.35)

50.45% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Mozambique 12.85%

Senegal 63.5%

Draw 23.63%

Mozambique	Draw	Senegal
1-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.84% Other @ 1.76% Total : 12.85%	0-0 @ 10.47% ( -0.17) 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.63%	0-1 @ 17.43% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 14.5% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 4.76% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 63.5%