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Africa Cup of Nations
Mozambique national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 5pm UK
 
Senegal national football team

Mozambique
0 - 1
Senegal

FT(HT: 0-1)
Dia (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Mozambique and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mozambique

Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 5-1 Mozambique
Friday, March 24 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Mozambique 0-2 Senegal

 Senegal are one of only four teams with a 100% AFCON qualifying record so far and will back themselves to continue their fine run. While Tuesday's visitors may be unable to replicate their landslide victory from four days ago, we are backing them to get the job done once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 63.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Mozambique had a probability of 12.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.5%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (10.47%), while for a Mozambique win it was 1-0 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
MozambiqueDrawSenegal
12.85% (0.0039999999999996 0) 23.64% (-0.135 -0.13) 63.51% (0.134 0.13)
Both teams to score 36.22% (0.307 0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.23% (0.421 0.42)60.77% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.18% (0.316 0.32)80.82% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Mozambique Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
44.68% (0.263 0.26)55.32% (-0.26 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
11.93% (0.158 0.16)88.07% (-0.155 -0.16)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.06% (0.212 0.21)18.94% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.55% (0.351 0.35)50.45% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Mozambique 12.85%
    Senegal 63.5%
    Draw 23.63%
MozambiqueDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 6.2% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-1 @ 3.06% (0.021 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 12.85%
0-0 @ 10.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.54% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 17.43% (-0.16 -0.16)
0-2 @ 14.5% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-3 @ 8.05% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.058 0.06)
0-4 @ 3.35% (0.036 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.98% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.028 0.03)
0-5 @ 1.11% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 63.5%

How you voted: Mozambique vs Senegal

Mozambique
11.4%
Draw
8.6%
Senegal
80.0%
35
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7pm
Senegal
5-1
Mozambique
Sabaly (9'), Mane (15'), Ndiaye (32'), Dia (39'), Diallo (88')
Sarr (31'), Mane (52')
Vilanculos (48')
Kambala (13'), Vilanculos (61'), Junior (74')
Jul 17, 2022 2.30pm
Third-Place Playoff
Mozambique
1-1
Senegal
 Senegal win 4-2 on penalties
King (90+3')
Foia (36')
Diouf (78' pen.)
Faye (25'), Mane (60'), Diouf (88')
Jul 9, 2021 2pm
Senegal
1-0
Mozambique
P (63')
Hadji Madicke Kane (15'), W (82'), M (86')
rhs 2.0
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