We said: Rwanda 1-0 Mozambique
The onus is more on Rwanda to make home advantage count and come away with all three points here. Mozambique, however, surely have other ideas heading into this weekend's encounter, but we fancy the hosts to get the job done.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rwanda win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Mozambique had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rwanda win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.53%) and 2-1 (7.38%). The likeliest Mozambique win was 0-1 (12.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.